Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-20 2.501802e-05 0.000030 0.000036 0.000042 0.000049 0.000057 0.000066
2025-04-27 1.896678e-05 0.000025 0.000033 0.000042 0.000052 0.000064 0.000079
2025-05-04 1.537384e-05 0.000022 0.000031 0.000042 0.000056 0.000072 0.000092
2025-05-11 1.373123e-05 0.000021 0.000031 0.000045 0.000062 0.000083 0.000109
2025-05-18 1.176828e-05 0.000020 0.000031 0.000046 0.000066 0.000090 0.000122
2025-05-25 8.991563e-06 0.000017 0.000027 0.000043 0.000064 0.000091 0.000127
2025-06-01 7.110047e-06 0.000014 0.000025 0.000041 0.000064 0.000093 0.000133
2025-06-08 5.936193e-06 0.000013 0.000024 0.000041 0.000065 0.000098 0.000142
2025-06-15 4.910753e-06 0.000012 0.000023 0.000040 0.000066 0.000101 0.000151
2025-06-22 3.873981e-06 0.000010 0.000021 0.000039 0.000066 0.000103 0.000156
2025-06-29 2.928064e-06 0.000009 0.000019 0.000037 0.000064 0.000103 0.000159
2025-07-06 2.130322e-06 0.000007 0.000017 0.000034 0.000062 0.000102 0.000160
2025-07-13 1.489820e-06 0.000006 0.000015 0.000033 0.000062 0.000105 0.000169
2025-07-20 1.102017e-06 0.000005 0.000014 0.000033 0.000064 0.000110 0.000180
2025-07-27 8.504644e-07 0.000005 0.000014 0.000033 0.000066 0.000117 0.000195
2025-08-03 7.670296e-07 0.000005 0.000014 0.000035 0.000072 0.000129 0.000216
2025-08-10 6.057568e-07 0.000004 0.000014 0.000036 0.000075 0.000136 0.000232
2025-08-17 3.509610e-07 0.000003 0.000012 0.000034 0.000073 0.000136 0.000236
2025-08-24 2.083034e-07 0.000003 0.000011 0.000032 0.000072 0.000138 0.000243
2025-08-31 1.356246e-07 0.000002 0.000011 0.000032 0.000074 0.000142 0.000254
2025-09-07 8.171122e-08 0.000002 0.000010 0.000031 0.000074 0.000147 0.000265
2025-09-14 3.899697e-08 0.000002 0.000009 0.000030 0.000074 0.000148 0.000272
2025-09-21 1.341091e-08 0.000001 0.000008 0.000028 0.000072 0.000148 0.000275